Impacts and Implications
By improving our understanding of the likely impacts of climate change, this programme aims to support decision-making about and adaptation to climate change.
Climate change is having, and will have, a range of impacts, including physical impacts (for example, sea-level rise or changing temperatures), socioeconomic impacts (climate change will impact different social groups in different ways), and environmental impacts, including how climate change will impact our natural environment.
If we can understand how climate change will impact New Zealand, we can plan for it more effectively. This involves taking a ‘big picture’ view. We need to explore how the many and varied impacts of climate change will interact with each other.
Our programme is aiming to make sure that New Zealanders can properly consider and evaluate key impacts of climate change. Our research into the impacts of climate change will also feed into and be informed by the emerging New Zealand Earth System Model.
We’re also aiming to make sure communities, end-users and stakeholders consider climate change in multiple contexts and make robust decisions about adaptation.
Further, we need to better understand the institutions that facilitate climate change adaptation. Our research is looking into historical responses to environmental threats and at the way climate-sensitive decisions are currently being made.
The purpose of the Deep South Challenge is to produce knowledge that New Zealand communities, including Māori, industry and government groups can use to plan for, and adapt to, climate change. It’s therefore crucial that these groups are involved in framing the research itself – we need to learn which issues relating to the impacts of climate change are most important to them.
The Impacts and Implications programme is running a series of innovative stakeholder dialogues that enable the co-creation of research questions, to make sure our research directly meets stakeholder needs.
Facilitated by Motu Economic and Public Policy Research, these dialogues aim to develop a shared understanding of key issues, to map current knowledge about them, to identify creative ideas to address them, and to pose well-formulated research questions. In this way, the dialogue process creates a more informed policy and research environment.
The dialogues bring together researchers, community leaders, government agencies and NGOs to formulate research questions around the following topics:
- Insurance, coastal housing and climate adaptation
- Flood-prone communities and sea-level rise
- Storm water and wastewater infrastructure
- Drought management
- Urban and Freight Transport
Building on existing work
The Impacts and Implications programme builds on a four-year project that finished in 2016: Climate Changes, Impacts & Implications for New Zealand. This MBIE-funded project modelled the impacts of climate change on human and natural systems, including a national integrated assessment and a series of five case studies focusing on different ecological areas in New Zealand. There is a national integrated assessment report for this body of work.
- The impact of climate change on New Zealand’s frozen water resources
- National hydrological and water resource impacts of climate change
- Incorporating climate change impacts in land-use suitability
- Robust adaptation decision-making under uncertainty in the water sector
- Supporting decision making through adaptive tools in a changing climate
- Climate change and the Earthquake Commission
- Cascading impacts and implications for Aotearoa New Zealand
- Emergent exposure of flood inundation hazards under future climate change in New Zealand
Please have a look at a complete list of Deep South Challenge projects.
Science lead: Suzi Kerr, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research
Programme contact: Sally Owen, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research | email@example.com
Latest news and updates
“We need to keep designing opportunities for iwi and hapū to see the potential of what adaptive change can look like.”—Dr Huhana Smith
In the second of the Deep South Challenge seminar series, Jonny will introduce us to climate and earth system modelling, show how the NZESM fits within the Deep South Challenge and discuss how the NZESM contributes to understanding our climate future.
The Deep South Challenge is proud to be supporting the new Aotearoa New Zealand Science Journalism Fund - the first independent journalism fund dedicated to furthering coverage of the science-related issues that impact New Zealanders.