- Earth System Modelling & Prediction
Research Programme
- Olaf Morgenstern
NIWA - View the full team
Project Lead
-
Budget
$300,000 -
Duration
October 2016-June 2018 -
Phase 1
Stratospheric chemistry in the NZESM
Improving the simulation of stratospheric chemistry in the NZESM
The aim of this project is mainly to improve the simulation of stratospheric chemistry in the NZ Earth Systems Model (NZESM). Stratospheric ozone is particularly relevant to climate change in the southern hemisphere because of the emergence, in every spring, of the ozone hole above Antarctica.

Ozone depletion is a major (and, seasonally, the dominant) driver of southern hemisphere climate change. However, problems with simulating ozone means it’s difficult to have confidence that the extent of its influence is properly represented in the model. This work improves the simulation of stratospheric ozone depletion, and in particular Antarctic ozone depletion, to contribute to a more realistic simulation of southern hemisphere climate and its response to human activity.
This project builds on a strong heritage in stratospheric model development in New Zealand and complements the work of our international partners in earth system modelling. We’re collaborating closely with another Deep South Challenge project (Evaluating the NZESM against modern & historical observations) that will produce observational datasets to help us validate the NZESM. We’re also strengthening a long-standing relationship with Australian colleagues interested in climate–ozone links.
This project in the media:
- Just the ticket! Not one, not two, but up to four “tickets” to improve the world’s centralised global climate model, Deep South Challenge news story
- New Zealand’s Next Top Model, New Zealand Geographic
- Breaking the ice, NIWA
-
Olaf Morgenstern
NIWA -
Greg Bodeker
Bodeker Scientific, Victoria University of Wellington -
Matthew Woodhouse
Centre for Marine and Atmospheric Research -
Guang Zeng
NIWA -
Fraser Dennison
University of Canterbury, NIWA